After a second monotonous summer of the working life, I’m thrilled to welcome back college football this weekend. I’m also happy to return to making weekly contributions to the 2 Man Weave, which has grown tremendously since I last left it back in January.
Storylines to Watch this Season
SEC’s Dominance- Schools from the SEC have won the past 6 BCS championships, and the conference appears primed for another run this year with 5 schools with realistic shots to go all the way. Last year’s title game participants LSU and Alabama are loaded again, while Arkansas, Georgia, and South Carolina all start the season in the top 10 and have the talent and experience to make runs. Each year, we wait for the conference’s teams to knock each other out of contention. I think this might be the year we see every SEC team end up with 2 losses, which would effectively knock the conference out of a title game shot. No doubt we’ll hear plenty of complaining from SEC fans if that’s the case, but unfortunately, I can’t disagree with them at this point.
USC’s Resurgence- After 2 years of bowl bans and scholarship reductions, USC is back in the spotlight and ready for another championship run (probably not what the NCAA was expecting when it handed down its rather severe penalties). Lane Kiffin has shown himself to be a competent college head coach and an outstanding recruiter (although let’s be honest: I could recruit elite players to the weather, girls, LA cool, and football tradition of SC). The biggest reason the Trojans are a preseason pick to win it all is the return of senior quarterback Matt Barkley, who forewent an opportunity to be drafted in the top 5 to return for one last run at his childhood favorite. He’ll have 2 of the country’s top receivers to throw to in Robert Woods and Marquise Lee in what should be the best offense in the land by far. The questions will be on defense and overall depth, which has been hurt by the sanctions.
The Big Ten- The conference has taken an image hit recently with the Ohio State and Penn State scandals, but should have a few teams capable of contending nationally this season. Michigan and Michigan State both return a solid amount of starters to teams that won 11 games last season and should be in contention for the Rose Bowl and at large-BCS berths. Michigan will rely on the amazing talents of Denard Robinson at QB, while MSU will feed off one of the best and most physical defenses in the nation. Wisconsin should be a contender again as well behind what is always a great offensive line and the return of Montee Ball, a Heisman front-runner.
Florida State- Perhaps everyone was a bit premature with the pre-season fawning over the Seminoles last season, but 2012 should finally be the year we see a return to the 1990’s Florida State we all know and some of us love. The defense could be the nation’s best, while the offense showed some playmaking ability late last year. There are issues on the offensive line, but starting so many youngsters last season should pay dividends now. There are no more excuses for Florida State. This is the year they should, and will, get it done.
Conference Shake-ups- West Virginia and TCU join the Big XII conference this season to replace Texas A&M and Missouri (both departed for the SEC). Football-wise, this trade is probably a wash for the Big XII, with WVU and TCU actually representing a potential upgrade on the field. However, it will be strange not to see some old rivalries out there this year (particularly Texas-Texas A&M). Texas A&M and Missouri will get a quick introduction to the SEC by hosting Florida and Georgia respectively in week 2.
5 New Coaches to Watch this Season
1. Urban Meyer-
Ohio State: The 2-time national champion at Florida suddenly felt well enough to take one of the most pressure-filled jobs out there, although it makes sense for him as a Buckeye state native. The Buckeyes won’t be eligible for a bowl this season due to hangover sanctions from the Tressel years, but should be improved from last season’s 6-7 record. Meyer has a quarterback that fits his system (Braxton Miller) and lots of talent on defense. Year 1 will be a honeymoon, but expectations will skyrocket in 2013.
2. Rich Rodriguez-
Arizona: The former West Virginia and Michigan head coach takes over at an Arizona program that had hit a plateau under Mike Stoops (now the defensive coordinator at Oklahoma). Rich-Rod brings an exciting spread offense that should thrive in the wide-open Pac 12, as compared to the stodgy Big Ten. The biggest coup for Rodriguez: getting his former West Virginia DC Jeff Casteel to join him at Arizon.
3. Mike Leach-
Washington Sate: The pirate returns to the coaching ranks after his bizarre exit from Texas Tech a few years ago. Like Rich Rod’s, Leach’s offense should thrive in the Pac-12. This was a great hire for a Cougar program looking for a spark. Expect Washington State to become a consistent bowl team under Leach, but it should take a few years at least before we see it.
4. Larry Fedora-
North Carolina: Fedora makes the jump to the BCS level after leading Southern Miss to prominence the past few years. There’s nothing flashy about Fedora, but he’s a very good football coach who should instill some discipline into a program that clearly lacked it under Butch Davis.
5. Kevin Sumlin-Texas A&M: Sumlin takes over an A&M program in a state of flux, having just fallen flat on its face at 6-6 in 2011 (a season which saw them open in the top 10), and having just joined the toughest conference in the country (the SEC). Sumlin brings his high-powered spread passing attack from Houston and it will be fascinating to see if it can work in a defensive conference like the SEC.
5 Players with the Biggest Shoes to Fill
1. Josh Nunes-QB-Stanford- Replacing the number one overall draft pick and a college legend is never easy, but the task at Stanford will be especially arduous. Luck became the face of the program’s resurgence over the past few seasons and Nunes will have to continue that momentum. The Cardinal should have a great running game and defense, but how well they replace Luck will determine whether they can contend for another BCS bid.
2. Notre Dame Wide Receivers- All-time leading receiver Michael Floyd is now gone, so the throw- it-up-in-his-general-direction play is now stricken from the playbook. No single receiver will replace Floyd’s production, so a team effort of TJ Jones, John Goodman, Davaris Daniels, and freshmen Chris Brown and Davonte Neal will need to make plays.
3. William Campbell-DT-Michigan- The Wolverines lose 4-year started Mike Martin, who made up for any physical limitations with a great motor and intensity. He’ll be missed in the middle of the line, as will Ryan Van Bergen. William Campbell is a former 5-star recruit who has battled weight and motivation problems throughout his career. Michigan really needs him to step up and play to his potential to shore up its run defense. It will be tested right out of the gate against Alabama.
4. Andrew Maxwell-QB-Michigan State- Kirk Cousins quietly had one of the best college careers in recent memory and was the driving force behind the Spartans’ emergence as a perennial Big Ten championship. Maxwell is a 4th year player who should be ready for the spotlight. He’ll lean on what should be an elite running game at first, but eventually he’ll need to make plays if the Spartans are going to make a run at the Rose Bowl.
5. Wes Lunt-QB-Oklahoma State- Coach Mike Gundy wasted little time naming true freshman Wes Lunt as the starter this spring. He has a big task ahead of him, replacing the most prolific passer in school history and first round pick Brandon Weeden.
5 Impact Freshmen
1. TJ Yeldon-RB-Alabama- Yeldon was committed to Auburn until late January last year, then flipped to arch-rival Alabama. He has elite size, strength, speed, and vision. In short, he can do it all, and will get a shot to help replace top 3 pick Trent Richardson.
2. Dorial Green-Beckham –WR-
Missouri: The Tigers scored a huge recruiting victory when the elite in-state receiver chose to stay home over a host of SEC schools. A 6-6, 220+ pound matchup nightmare, Green-Beckham has a chance to become a star from day-one.
3. Shaq Thompson-S-Washington- Thompson was committed to Cal for awhile before switching to the Huskies on signing day. He is an elite defensive back prospect, with the size and physicality of a linebacker combined with the speed and cover skills of a cornerback.
4. Stafon Diggs-WR-Maryland- Diggs shocked most recruiters when he opted to stay home and attend in-state Maryland over Ohio State and Florida. He brings elite speed and agility and should see the field right away for the reeling Terrapins.
5. Ondre Pipkins-DT-Michigan- Pipkins should see the defensive tackle rotation early at Michigan, which seeks to replace uber-productive Mike Martin at the center of the Wolverines’ defense. At 6-3, 325, he has the size and strength to hold up.
Honorable Mention: Davonte Neal-WR/PR-Notre Dame- The Irish landed Davonte Neal after signing day last March, and it was a huge pickup. The diminutive Arizona native (5-9) brings elusiveness and speed to ND’s slot receiver position and the punt return unit.
Games to Watch - Week 1
1. Boise State at Michigan State (Friday) Boise State has made a killing on these season-openers when they have all offseason to prepare, but they won’t have Kellen Moore for the first time since 2007. Michigan State looks for a statement win in week 1 and should have success running the ball.
2. NC State vs. Tennessee (Friday-Atlanta) NC State is a sleeper in the ACC this season, with senior QB Mike Glennon leading the way. Tennessee is looking to take a step forward in a pressure-filled 3rd season for Derek Dooley. A loss would be crippling to Tennessee and really rile a frustrated Vols fanbase.
3. Notre Dame at Navy (Dublin, Ireland) The game itself isn’t overly meaningful (besides to me), but it will be interesting to see a game overseas, and one that starts at 9 am.
4. Clemson vs. Auburn (Atlanta) A huge game for both teams to start the season on the right foot. Clemson looks to build upon last year’s ACC title season (while erasing the memory of the 70-33 beatdown taken in the Orange Bowl), though they must do so without superstar sophomore WR Sammy Watkins, who is suspended for the first few games. Auburn looks to get back on track after slipping to 7-5 last season. This is also a big SEC-ACC matchup, as is NC State-Tennessee.
5. Michigan vs. Alabama (Arlington) There’s no question that this is the biggest game of the weekend, as the two historical powers will meet in shiny new Jerryworld. The Crimson Tide must replace a bevy of starters on defense, but there’s always talent there for Nick Saban. Michigan has some holes, but they also have Denard Robinson, and accordingly enter the season as a national title contender. The Wolverines could also provide a big lift for the Big Ten’s national reputation with a win here.
-Chooch